Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1345.216382 1557.849124 1804.845779 2115.821198 2500.968333 2967.774641 3.584849e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1053.433672 1319.045884 1662.225220 2149.223303 2841.632631 3822.471221 5.379739e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 892.614544 1169.242890 1549.830414 2131.335738 3035.622471 4461.746433 7.054864e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 798.327310 1085.240379 1501.239069 2178.641669 3319.942170 5310.031303 9.450996e+03
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 697.706935 973.526410 1388.667025 2096.854916 3364.227997 5754.910328 1.131620e+04
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 621.652140 886.657579 1298.389003 2029.644425 3410.330652 6209.551920 1.345923e+04
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 558.260319 810.896650 1213.989721 1954.906098 3420.621509 6590.706213 1.567113e+04
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 535.649673 796.278247 1226.530724 2053.561407 3794.682743 7911.594992 2.156686e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 508.894429 771.412261 1217.521737 2108.939880 4092.328586 9183.829776 2.868846e+04
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 482.403251 743.888229 1199.779187 2143.077326 4351.463663 10482.017486 3.766151e+04
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 452.539921 707.498386 1161.315156 2127.556733 4487.995956 11498.279639 4.703189e+04
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 435.320743 691.498957 1158.631447 2187.406899 4832.929089 13378.926445 6.515636e+04
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 421.041803 680.620253 1166.779908 2278.948534 5313.048380 16152.786639 9.909701e+04
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 402.034840 659.485387 1152.659904 2318.236831 5667.289137 18785.998530 1.458743e+05
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 379.419181 629.412923 1116.704112 2298.050909 5835.563169 20786.562180 2.002242e+05
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 365.460618 614.510705 1110.301095 2350.363387 6260.714009 24501.752394 3.230969e+05
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 340.906327 577.118446 1052.365520 2260.064142 6171.534552 25405.134468 4.037148e+05
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 319.896048 545.190609 1003.268740 2185.953631 6121.341844 26556.498722 5.202650e+05
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 300.063602 514.278156 953.709901 2103.627562 6019.692919 27349.243550 6.538764e+05
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 295.885408 514.268345 972.295986 2212.317996 6694.392738 34422.601836 1.533372e+06
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 288.452192 507.042315 973.829152 2273.400103 7212.295698 41415.671691 3.743386e+06
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 279.938832 496.936274 967.673977 2311.078311 7653.097511 48814.075123 1.075745e+07
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 268.682229 480.326658 944.686730 2293.945582 7841.922253 54246.532506 3.066847e+07